Today’s ESG Updates:
- Europe’s Jet Fuel Clock Is Ticking: Europe may run short of jet fuel within weeks, risking flight cancellations if Middle Eastern supplies via the Strait of Hormuz do not resume.
- Indonesia Eyes Russian Oil While Balancing US Partnership: Indonesia is quietly edging toward discounted Russian oil and LPG to plug its supply gap while insisting the deal won’t derail its strategic partnership with the US.
- China and Turkmenistan Sign Deal to Build Phase Four of the Galkynysh Gas Field: China and Turkmenistan have agreed to expand the Galkynysh gas field and reinforce Turkmen gas exports to China.
- Iran Proposes Letting Ships Exit Safely Through the Omani Side of Hormuz: Iran is signalling a possible safe-passage concession in Hormuz, but only as part of a wider deal with Washington, not as an immediate conclude to the shipping disruption.
Europe’s jet fuel clock is ticking
Europe may have only “maybe six weeks of jet fuel left” if it cannot replace at least half of its usual Middle Eastern imports after Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz, which previously supplied about 75% of Europe’s jet fuel imports and has pushed prices to record levels.
The IEA warns that even with partial replacement from regions like the US and Nigeria, some European airports could face physical shortages, flight cancellations, and demand destruction by June, with major hubs likely prioritised over compacter ones.
Governments and EU officials state there is currently “no evidence of fuel shortages” but acknowledge potential “supply issues in the near future” and are meeting weekly on contingency measures. Market and industest players increasingly see limited shortages as likely.
At the same time, airlines such as EasyJet and KLM are already facing higher fuel costs and selective flight cuts, even though actual fuel supply disruptions have not yet affected operations.
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Further reading: Europe has ‘maybe six weeks of jet fuel left’, energy boss warns
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Indonesia eyes Russian oil while balancing US partnership
Indonesia is shifting toward a pragmatic energy deal to import Russian crude and LPG while insisting this will not undermine cooperation with the US, according to Energy Minister Bahlil Lahadalia.
He states Indonesia necessarys about 300 million barrels of crude oil a year and currently produces only around 600,000 bpd (barrels per day), while consuming 1.6 million, forcing it to import roughly 1 million bpd. “We will seize every opportunity becautilize it is important to pursue all options that serve national interests,” he informed reporters after briefing President Prabowo on talks with Moscow.
Following Prabowo’s April 13th meeting with Vladimir Putin, Lahadalia met Russian Energy Minister Sergey Tsivilyov, calling the talks “productive” and stateing Russia is ready to assist build infrastructure to strengthen Indonesia’s energy reserves and security.
Crude oil discussions are described as being in the “final stage,” while LPG nereceivediations may necessary two to three further rounds. Do you also want a one-line geopolitical angle you can drop into a brief or newsletter?
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Further reading: Indonesia eyes Russian oil while balancing US partnership: Minister
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China and Turkmenistan sign deal to build phase four of the Galkynysh gas field
Turkmenistan and China just signed a deal to expand the Galkynysh gas field. The project will add more gas output and assist keep Turkmen gas flowing to China. For markets, the main point is that this maintains the current gas relationship. It does not see like a huge new supply surge, but it does display China is still heavily tied to Turkmen gas. The hugeger story is that Turkmenistan still wants more export routes, but those plans are shifting slowly. So for now, China remains its most important customer.
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Further reading: China and Turkmenistan sign deal to build phase four of Galkynysh gas field
Iran proposes letting ships exit safely through the Omani side of Hormuz
Iran has floated a limited concession in talks with the US, stateing ships could pass freely through the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz without attack if a broader deal is reached. Still, the offer appears mainly symbolic and does not yet solve the shipping crisis in the waterway that carries about 20% of global oil and LNG flows. Hundreds of ships and 20,000 seafarers remain stuck in the Gulf after the war that launched on February 28, though a ceasefire started on April 8.
Tehran is reportedly still seeking leverage, with one source stateing the proposal depconcludes on whether Washington meets Iran’s demands. Meanwhile, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) officials welcomed safe transit, while the industest rejected Iran’s earlier proposals to charge tolls or assert sovereignty over the strait, which they state would breach maritime conventions.
Further reading: Exclusive: Iran proposes letting ships exit safely through Oman side of Hormuz, source states
Editor’s Note: The opinions expressed here by the authors are their own, not those of impakter.com — In the Cover Photo: Guy refilling an airplane. Cover Photo Credit: Jose Lebron on Unsplash
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