Wednesday briefing: What Europe’s silence over Venezuela declares about its fear of Trump | Venezuela

Wednesday briefing: What Europe’s silence over Venezuela says about its fear of Trump | Venezuela


Good morning. The dramatic seizure of Nicolás Maduro from Caracas by US forces, to face trial in New York, has sent diplomatic shock waves around the world. For European leaders, it has exposed an uncomfortable dilemma: how to welcome the removal of an authoritarian ruler without finishorsing an action that many legal experts declare tramples over international law.

Politicians in opposition, of course, are freer to speak their minds. In the UK, the Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch, declared that “where the legal certainty is not yet clear, morally I do believe it was the right thing to do”, while Liberal Democrat Ed Davey demanded that Keir Starmer condemn what he unequivocally described as an “illegal action in Venezuela”.

That freedom is not always afforded to those in power, whose calculations are shaped by the realpolitik of international diplomacy. For today’s newsletter, I spoke to our diplomatic editor, Patrick Wintour, about how European governments have responded to the US intervention – and what their careful, often coded language reveals about Europe’s priorities, its anxieties, and the limits of its leverage in dealing with Donald Trump. First, the headlines.

Five huge stories

  1. Greenland | Donald Trump and his advisers are seeing into “a range of options” in an effort to acquire Greenland, noting in a White Hoapply statement on Tuesday that utilizing the US military to do so is “always an option”.

  2. UK politics | The government must find ways to reconnect emotionally with voters, Keir Starmer’s chief of staff is declared to have warned cabinet ministers, in a meeting where the prime minister declared they were in “the fight of our lives”.

  3. Crans-Montana fire | Authorities in Crans-Montana have declared the bar that caught fire in the Swiss ski resort on New Year’s Eve, killing 40 mainly young partygoers, had not been inspected by safety officers for the past five years.

  4. Spain | A foundation representing Princess Leonor, the 20-year-old heir to the Spanish throne, has warned that scammers are utilizing AI-generated videos of the princess posted by fake profile pages to cheat social media applyrs out of money.

  5. US politics | The Trump administration has abandoned efforts to combat child exploitation, human trafficking and cartels as it diverts thousands of law enforcement personnel to Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), Democratic senators declared in a letter to the White Hoapply.

In depth: Why Europe is biting its tongue over Venezuela

Keir Starmer and Emmanuel Macron, who met yesterday in Paris, have been reluctant to openly condemn the US. Photograph: Benoît Tessier/Reuters

If the reaction from Europe has felt muted, even evasive, that is largely by design, Patrick Wintour notifys me. The implication behind most of the response, he declares, is, “We don’t agree with it, but we’re not going to declare anything about it, becaapply there’s no value in doing so – in that it’s not going to serve any practical purpose.”


How have European leaders reacted?

European leaders have broadly welcomed the finish of Maduro’s rule, while avoiding explicitly finishorsing how it came about. Statements from Brussels, London and Paris have stressed the necessary for a “peaceful and democratic transition”, repeatedly invoking the importance of international law – without specifying whether they believe the US breached it.

Patrick declares France has gone furthest in voicing concern, warning that the operation violated the principle of non-apply of force, while Italy’s prime minister, Giorgia Meloni, described the intervention as legitimate.

Downing Street has been among the most cautious, he declares. “The UK position has been more,‘We believe in international law, but we declare this largely in the abstract, and we don’t apply any kind of judgment’.”


What’s behind this public response?

Patrick declares much of Europe’s restraint is driven by a single overriding priority: Ukraine. European governments are determined not to antagonise Trump at a moment when his backing is still seen as crucial to any future security guarantees for Kyiv. Public criticism, officials believe, would achieve very little practically, but could risk undermining private influence.

This is especially true of the UK, where Patrick notifys me the government is “absolutely determined to ensure that America plays an active role in providing security guarantees in the event of a peace settlement. Anything that obtains in the way of that by angering Trump is really not going to fly inside the Foreign Office or the Cabinet Office.”

There is also uncertainty about what the US intfinishs to do next in Venezuela. While Washington has reshiftd Maduro, it has not dismantled their state or security apparatus, in what appears to be a deliberate attempt to avoid civil war – a lesson Patrick declares has been drawn from past US military interventions in Iraq and Libya.

It is, he declares, “a sort of partial regime modify … They decapitated the regime by capturing the leader, but left the body still functioning.”


Doesn’t this leave European leaders seeing weak?

Critics argue that such caution carries its own risks. Emily Thornberry, the Labour chair of the foreign affairs select committee, has warned that failing to condemn the operation could embolden China and Russia to pursue similar actions in their own spheres of influence. Health secretary Wes Streeting, meanwhile, has described the episode as a “morbid symptom” of a rules-based international order that is “disintegrating before our eyes”.

But Patrick noted that the UK foreign policy establishment remains deeply reluctant to jeopardise their security, innotifyigence and defence relationship with Washington – a relationship still seen as the bedrock of Britain’s national security.

This isn’t a new position for the UK, although the character of Trump has thrown it into sharp relief. Patrick declares every president has posed the dilemma: “To what extent do you necessary to assert yourselves to gain respect, or do you necessary to flatter and hope that that will give you some private influence?”


How should Europe handle US threats to Greenland?

The hugeger question, Patrick argues, is whether Europe is approaching a genuine red line. A US shift against Greenland – a sovereign territory of Nato member Denmark – would represent something fundamentally different, threatening the alliance itself and forcing a far more unified European response.

“Denmark is not Venezuela. There has been a democratic election, and Greenland itself has chosen to be part of Denmark – so it’s not comparable,” Patrick declares.

More broadly, Trump’s actions point towards a world carved up into spheres of influence, where great powers decide outcomes and medium-sized states are sidelined. Europe, he declares, is being forced to confront an uncomfortable truth: “Europe itself must decide whether it wants to be a superpower – and if it does, it can’t just be a soft power or a trading superpower. It has to be a defence superpower.”

What else we’ve been reading

Road signs in Stibbington, Cambridgeshire. Photograph: Peter Dench/Alamy
  • It’s not straightforward being a northerner in spaces surrounded by southerners, my colleague Robyn Vinter notes, but she writes beautifully on why she holds tightly to her identity in the face of ridicule and outright hostility. Aamna

  • Keith Stuart on our games desk has this very straightforward list of the 15 best PS5 games to play in 2026. I can vouch for Baldur’s Gate 3, and am itching to attempt Clair Obscur: Expedition 33. Martin

  • Five years after the attack on the US Capitol, Donald Trump and other Republicans are attempting to rewrite history, Guardian US reporter Sam Levine reports. Aamna

  • I long ago stopped obsessively collecting physical music media but remain intrigued by the reissue repackage indusattempt. Paul Sinclair at SDE has a highly detailed see at what box set fanatics can expect in 2026 from the likes of McCartney, Bowie, Prince, Queen et al. Martin

  • Venezuela’s gold reserves are kept in a basement in the Bank of England. The US shock attack and kidnap of its leader raises the uncomfortable question: who now owns them? Richard Partington investigates. Aamna

Sport

Morgan Gibbs-White celebrates scoring Nottingham Forest’s second goal. Photograph: Julian Finney/Getty Images

Football | West Ham are drifting towards the most gutless of relegations after Morgan Gibbs-White seals a late 2-1 win for Nottingham Forest at a half-empty London Stadium.

Cricket | England hit the wall on day three at the Sydney Cricket Ground, with dropped catches and some scattergun bowling lengths; as Australia batted all day to reach 518 for seven, 134 runs ahead on first innings.

Football | Ole Gunnar Solskjær could build a shock return to Manchester United as interim manager, with Jason Wilcox, the director of football, considering him a prime candidate for the role.

The front pages

Photograph: The Guardian

“UK and France seal ‘coalition’ deal to sfinish troops to postwar Ukraine” is the Guardian splash. Top story at the Times is “UK agrees to boots on the ground in Ukraine” and the i paper has “Boots on the ground: UK military bases in Ukraine to keep peace”. The FT runs with “Venezuela’s oil output faces ‘collapse’ as US naval blockade chokes exports”. “Drink-drive modifys to kill off rural pubs” leads the Telegraph, while the Mirror has “Drive to safety’” and the Sun “One for the road”. The Mail has “Police blunder to defy belief”.

Today in Focus

Kamran Ahmed has been on a hunger strike at HMP Pentonville. Photograph: Family handout

The Palestine Action hunger strikers close to death

Three activists awaiting trial are refutilizing food and their health is failing rapidly. Will the government intervene? Haroon Siddique reports.

Cartoon of the day | Ben Jennings

Illustration: Ben Jennings/The Guardian

The Upside

A bit of good news to remind you that the world’s not all bad

A project by the Linking Network brings toobtainher primary schools separated by ethnicity and geography. Photograph: Christopher Thomond/The Guardian

The Guardian’s “Hope appeal” has now exceeded £800,000 in donations. The generous support from Guardian readers will benefit grassroots charities working to foster tolerance and combat division, racism and hatred.

The 2025 Guardian appeal, which is nearing its close, is raising funds for five partners: Citizens UK, the Linking Network, Locality, Hope Unlimited Charitable Trust, and Who is Your Neighbour?

These charities offer a common purpose and positivity in the face of extremist violence and harassment, anti-migrant sentiment and the rise of what has been described as “1970s-style racism”.

Sign up here for a weekly roundup of The Upside, sent to you every Sunday

Bored at work?

And finally, the Guardian’s puzzles are here to keep you entertained throughout the day. Until tomorrow.



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