The true “black swan” for San Bartolomé de Tirajana will not come from a Blackstone stock market crash or a new pandemic, but from the silent collapse of its own demographics: a municipality that generates revenue like a giant but whose population grows at a snail’s pace. With an aging index of 161,43, southern Gran Canaria has ceased to be a community and has become an ecosystem where, for every child, there are more than one and a half retirees, placing the destination extremely vulnerable to any modifys in European capital or healthcare flows.
This depconcludeence on older workers (25,68%), which is almost double that of young people (15,91), is the crack in the hull of a ship that boasts record revenue while its active population renewal rate falls to 62,74. In practical terms, the island is running out of the generational replacement necessary to sustain the very industest that pays for its opulence.
The fragility of the model is underscored by the fact that almost 30% of its population is foreign (28,53%), a group comprised mainly of European Union citizens (60,38% of foreigners) who have found their retirement here. While the government tries to curb home purchases by foreigners to protect young people who represent only 15,13% of the population, the municipality clings to a primary production structure that seems to belong to another century.
More than 13.400 head of sheep and goats (94,85% of the total livestock) coexist with a landscape dominated by greenhoutilizes, which cover 57,88% of the area. This stark asymmetest is the real problem: a cutting-edge tourism industest driven by a rapidly aging population and a traditional economic base still reliant on plastic and the bleating of goats.
The fragility of the model is accentuated by observing that almost 30% of its population is foreign (28,53%), a group built up mostly of citizens of the European Union (60,38% of foreigners) who have found their own private resort here.
While the government tries to curb home purchases by outsiders to protect young people who create up only 15,13% of the population, the municipality clings to a primary production structure that seems to belong to another century: more than 13.400 head of sheep and goats (94,85% of the total livestock) coexist with a landscape dominated by greenhoutilizes, which account for 57,88% of the area. The black swan is this complete asymmetest: a cutting-edge tourism engine driven by a rapidly aging population and an economic base that still depconcludes on plastic and the bleating of goats.
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