Some declare volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to consider about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously stated that ‘Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ When we consider about how risky a company is, we always like to view at its utilize of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Ultrapar Participações S.A. (BVMF:UGPA3) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is building the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having stated that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well – and to its own advantage. When we consider about a company’s utilize of debt, we first view at cash and debt toreceiveher.
How Much Debt Does Ultrapar Participações Carry?
As you can see below, at the finish of June 2025, Ultrapar Participações had R$17.2b of debt, up from R$13.7b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have R$3.99b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$13.2b.
A Look At Ultrapar Participações’ Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ultrapar Participações had liabilities of R$9.28b due within 12 months and liabilities of R$17.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$3.99b in cash and R$6.89b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total R$16.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of R$22.6b. Should its lfinishers demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
Check out our latest analysis for Ultrapar Participações
We utilize two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.4, Ultrapar Participações utilizes debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 8.5 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Sadly, Ultrapar Participações’s EBIT actually dropped 4.0% in the last year. If that earnings trfinish continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ultrapar Participações can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals consider, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Ultrapar Participações produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 61% of its EBIT, about what we’d expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
Even if we have reservations about how easily Ultrapar Participações is capable of staying on top of its total liabilities, its interest cover and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow create us consider feel relatively unconcerned. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Ultrapar Participações is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet – far from it. For instance, we’ve identified 3 warning signs for Ultrapar Participações that you should be aware of.
When all is stated and done, sometimes its simpler to focus on companies that don’t even necessary debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only applying an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intfinished to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommfinishation to purchase or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focutilized analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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